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Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Gijón Industrial vs Astur prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gijón Industrial host Astur in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gijón Industrial 2–2 Astur.
Going into the match, Gijón Industrial had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Astur had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 3 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gijón Industrial's last 9 and 2 of Astur's last 5; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gijón Industrial averaged 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Astur averaged 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Gijón Industrial and 0.95 from Astur. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gijón Industrial (green) and Astur (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijón Industrial | LDLWW | 1.89 | 1.56 | 67% | 67% |
| Astur | DDLLL | 0.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Gijón Industrial Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Gijón Industrial HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.