GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Varnamo prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 62%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

GIF Sundsvall host IFK Varnamo in the Superettan (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: GIF Sundsvall 0–1 IFK Varnamo.

Going into the match, GIF Sundsvall had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 17. IFK Varnamo had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of GIF Sundsvall's last 10 and 9 of IFK Varnamo's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home GIF Sundsvall averaged 0.92 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home IFK Varnamo averaged 1.69 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.80 goals from GIF Sundsvall and 1.69 from IFK Varnamo. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 21%, 25% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between GIF Sundsvall (green) and IFK Varnamo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack31% – 69%

Defence41% – 59%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals38% – 62%

Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
GIF Sundsvall	LLWLL	0.60	1.70	20%	40%
IFK Varnamo	LWLWD	1.70	1.30	90%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

14 Apr 2026 · IFK Varnamo 3–0 GIF Sundsvall

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	78%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	62%	1.50
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
BTTS Yes	58%	1.62
IFK Varnamo Win	55%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.