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K4 League · South Korea
Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Geumsan Insam host Namyangju in the K4 League (South Korea) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Geumsan Insam 2–0 Namyangju.
Going into the match, Geumsan Insam had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Namyangju had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Geumsan Insam's last 10 and 9 of Namyangju's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Geumsan Insam averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Namyangju averaged 1.63 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Geumsan Insam and 1.28 from Namyangju. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 33%, against 43%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Geumsan Insam (green) and Namyangju (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geumsan Insam | LDDWL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Namyangju | WDWWW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Namyangju 1–1 Geumsan Insam
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.95 |
| Geumsan Insam Win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.