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La Liga · Spain
Getafe vs Sevilla prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Getafe host Sevilla in the La Liga (Spain) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Getafe had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Sevilla had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Getafe's last 10 and 6 of Sevilla's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Getafe averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sevilla averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Getafe and 1.07 from Sevilla. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 38%, against 30%, 30% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Getafe (green) and Sevilla (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 39% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.