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La Liga · Spain
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Getafe host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Spain) on 19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Going into the match, Getafe had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Rayo Vallecano had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Getafe's last 10 and 9 of Rayo Vallecano's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Getafe averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Rayo Vallecano averaged 1.13 scored and 2.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Getafe and 1.09 from Rayo Vallecano. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 34%, against 32%, 32% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Getafe (green) and Rayo Vallecano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | DLWLD | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Rayo Vallecano | DWLWL | 1.50 | 2.30 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 38% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.