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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Getafe II vs Numancia prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Getafe II host Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Getafe II 0–0 Numancia.
Going into the match, Getafe II had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Numancia had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Getafe II's last 10 and 3 of Numancia's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Getafe II averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Numancia averaged 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.48 goals from Getafe II and 0.85 from Numancia. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 41%, against 30%, 31% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Getafe II (green) and Numancia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.68 |
| Numancia Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.