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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain

Getafe II vs Numancia prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 61%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Getafe II host Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Getafe II 0–0 Numancia.

Going into the match, Getafe II had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Numancia had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Getafe II's last 10 and 3 of Numancia's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Getafe II averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Numancia averaged 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.48 goals from Getafe II and 0.85 from Numancia. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 41%, against 30%, 31% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Getafe II (green) and Numancia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form17% – 83%
Attack38% – 63%
Defence0% – 100%
Head-to-head36% – 64%
Goals25% – 75%
Overall strength29% – 71%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Getafe IILDLDL0.701.5040%30%
NumanciaWDWWW1.300.5030%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance X270%1.30
Under 2.5 Goals61%1.53
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals60%1.55
BTTS No55%1.68
Numancia Win39%2.30
Draw31%2.90
0-015%6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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