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UEFA Nations League · International
Germany vs Serbia prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Germany host Serbia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Germany Win — Germany to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Germany 2–0 Serbia.
Going into the match, Germany had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Serbia had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4, with 3 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Germany's last 8 and 3 of Serbia's last 4; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Germany averaged 2.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Serbia averaged 0.50 scored and 4.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 77% for Germany, 16% for the draw and 8% for Serbia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Germany (green) and Serbia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Germany Win | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Germany 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Germany HT & FT | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.