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K4 League · South Korea
Geoje Citizen vs Haman prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Geoje Citizen host Haman in the K4 League (South Korea) on 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Geoje Citizen Win — Geoje Citizen to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Geoje Citizen 1–0 Haman.
Going into the match, Geoje Citizen had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Haman had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Geoje Citizen's last 10 and 6 of Haman's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Geoje Citizen averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Haman averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Geoje Citizen and 0.82 from Haman. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 15%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Geoje Citizen (green) and Haman (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoje Citizen | WDWWL | 1.50 | 1.20 | 30% | 60% |
| Haman | LLWLW | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Haman 2–2 Geoje Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Geoje Citizen Win | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.68 |
| Geoje Citizen HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.35 |
| 2-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.