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Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk vs Kortrijk prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Genk host Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Genk Win — Genk to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Genk 3–0 Kortrijk.
Going into the match, Genk had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Kortrijk had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Genk's last 10 and 4 of Kortrijk's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Genk averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kortrijk averaged 1.90 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Genk and 0.83 from Kortrijk. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 13%, against 64%, 20% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Genk (green) and Kortrijk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Genk Win | 66% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.