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Friendlies Clubs · International
Genk vs Fortuna Sittard prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Genk host Fortuna Sittard in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Genk 1–2 Fortuna Sittard.
Going into the match, Genk had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 18. Fortuna Sittard had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Genk's last 10 and 8 of Fortuna Sittard's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Genk averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Genk and 1.35 from Fortuna Sittard. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 54%, 23% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Genk (green) and Fortuna Sittard (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | LDDWD | 1.80 | 1.80 | 60% | 80% |
| Fortuna Sittard | WLWWL | 1.70 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Genk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.66 |
| Genk Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Genk HT & FT | 39% | 2.41 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.