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Liga Nacional · Honduras
Génesis vs CD Olimpia prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Génesis host CD Olimpia in the Liga Nacional (Honduras) on 10 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Génesis 0–1 CD Olimpia.
Going into the match, Génesis had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. CD Olimpia had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Génesis's last 10 and 6 of CD Olimpia's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Génesis averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home CD Olimpia averaged 1.62 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Génesis and 1.46 from CD Olimpia. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 45%, against 23%, 26% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Génesis (green) and CD Olimpia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Génesis | DLWLD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| CD Olimpia | WWLWW | 2.50 | 0.80 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| CD Olimpia Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.82 |
| CD Olimpia HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.