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Süper Lig · Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gençlerbirliği S.K. host Amed in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–2 Amed.
Going into the match, Gençlerbirliği S.K. had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Amed had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s last 10 and 5 of Amed's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gençlerbirliği S.K. averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Amed averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Gençlerbirliği S.K. and 2.16 from Amed. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 57%, against 30%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gençlerbirliği S.K. (green) and Amed (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | LLLDW | 1.20 | 2.00 | 50% | 80% |
| Amed | WWDWL | 2.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.