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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Gemert vs FC Lisse prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gemert host FC Lisse in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Gemert to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gemert 0–2 FC Lisse.
Going into the match, Gemert had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. FC Lisse had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Gemert's last 10 and 6 of FC Lisse's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gemert averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home FC Lisse averaged 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Gemert and 1.68 from FC Lisse. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 51%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gemert (green) and FC Lisse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.31 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Gemert Win | 39% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.