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Serie D - Girone I · Italy

Gela vs Milazzo prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Gela host Milazzo in the Serie D - Girone I (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Gela 1–1 Milazzo.

Going into the match, Gela had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Milazzo had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Gela's last 10 and 2 of Milazzo's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gela averaged 0.60 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Milazzo averaged 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Gela and 0.71 from Milazzo. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 22%. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Gela (green) and Milazzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack38% – 63%
Defence56% – 44%
Head-to-head20% – 80%
Goals33% – 67%
Overall strength45% – 55%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
GelaDLDLW0.601.1050%40%
MilazzoWLLWW0.601.2020%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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