Home › League stats › Ettan - Norra › Gefle IF vs Piteå
Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Gefle IF vs Piteå prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gefle IF host Piteå in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gefle IF 3–3 Piteå.
Going into the match, Gefle IF had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Piteå had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gefle IF's last 10 and 6 of Piteå's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gefle IF averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Piteå averaged 1.42 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Gefle IF and 1.34 from Piteå. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 38%, against 50%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gefle IF (green) and Piteå (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Piteå 0–2 Gefle IF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Gefle IF Win | 50% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.