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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gedania Gdansk host Victoria Września in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gedania Gdansk 0–0 Victoria Września.
Going into the match, Gedania Gdansk had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 24. Victoria Września had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Gedania Gdansk's last 10 and 6 of Victoria Września's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gedania Gdansk averaged 2.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Victoria Września averaged 0.75 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Gedania Gdansk and 1.28 from Victoria Września. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 24%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gedania Gdansk (green) and Victoria Września (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gedania Gdansk | LWDLL | 2.30 | 2.40 | 90% | 80% |
| Victoria Września | DDDDL | 1.10 | 2.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Gedania Gdansk Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Gedania Gdansk HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.