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Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa prediction and preview
6 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gaziantep FK host Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 6 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gaziantep FK had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Kasımpaşa had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gaziantep FK's last 10 and 7 of Kasımpaşa's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gaziantep FK averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Kasımpaşa averaged 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Gaziantep FK and 1.31 from Kasımpaşa. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gaziantep FK (green) and Kasımpaşa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | LWLLL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% |
| Kasımpaşa | DWWWL | 1.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.