Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 70%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Gaziantep FK host Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Gaziantep FK had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Erzurumspor FK had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Gaziantep FK's last 10 and 2 of Erzurumspor FK's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gaziantep FK averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Erzurumspor FK averaged 0.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Gaziantep FK and 0.74 from Erzurumspor FK. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 22%, against 43%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Gaziantep FK (green) and Erzurumspor FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form29% – 71%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence25% – 75%

Head-to-head25% – 75%

Goals43% – 57%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Gaziantep FK	LLLDW	1.30	1.30	50%	60%
Erzurumspor FK	WDWLW	0.80	1.20	20%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	73%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
BTTS Yes	51%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	45%	2.10
Gaziantep FK Win	42%	2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.