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Pro League A · Uzbekistan
Gazalkent vs Pakhtakor II prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gazalkent host Pakhtakor II in the Pro League A (Uzbekistan) on 8 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gazalkent 3–2 Pakhtakor II.
Going into the match, Gazalkent had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 10. Pakhtakor II had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gazalkent's last 10 and 3 of Pakhtakor II's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gazalkent averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Pakhtakor II averaged 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.52 goals from Gazalkent and 0.75 from Pakhtakor II. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 8%, against 72%, 17% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gazalkent (green) and Pakhtakor II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazalkent | WWDDL | 2.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Pakhtakor II | LLLWL | 0.70 | 2.30 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Pakhtakor II 1–2 Gazalkent
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Gazalkent Win | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Gazalkent 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Gazalkent HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.84 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.