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National League · England
Gateshead vs Worthing prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gateshead host Worthing in the National League (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Worthing Win — Worthing to win. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gateshead 1–2 Worthing.
Going into the match, Gateshead had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 26. Worthing had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gateshead's last 10 and 7 of Worthing's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gateshead averaged 0.80 goals scored and 2.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Worthing averaged 1.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.77 goals from Gateshead and 1.94 from Worthing. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 64%, against 11%, 17% and 71% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gateshead (green) and Worthing (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Worthing Win | 71% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.