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National League · England
Gateshead vs Tamworth prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gateshead host Tamworth in the National League (England) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gateshead had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 28. Tamworth had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gateshead's last 10 and 7 of Tamworth's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gateshead averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Tamworth averaged 1.62 scored and 2.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Gateshead and 1.99 from Tamworth. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 54%, against 21%, 22% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gateshead (green) and Tamworth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Tamworth Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Tamworth HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 1-2 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.