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National Soccer League · Rwanda
Gasogi United vs Bugesera prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gasogi United host Bugesera in the National Soccer League (Rwanda) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Bugesera to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gasogi United 0–2 Bugesera.
Going into the match, Gasogi United had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Bugesera had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gasogi United's last 10 and 2 of Bugesera's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gasogi United averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Bugesera averaged 0.75 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Gasogi United and 1.18 from Bugesera. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 36%, against 38%, 31% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gasogi United (green) and Bugesera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gasogi United | DWLLL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Bugesera | WLWLD | 0.80 | 1.50 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.