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Liga 1 · Indonesia
Garudayaksa vs Arema FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Garudayaksa host Arema FC in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Garudayaksa 3–1 Arema FC.
Going into the match, Garudayaksa had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Arema FC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Garudayaksa's last 9 and 6 of Arema FC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Garudayaksa averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Arema FC averaged 1.56 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Garudayaksa and 1.66 from Arema FC. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 33%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Garudayaksa (green) and Arema FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garudayaksa | LDLDD | 1.56 | 1.22 | 67% | 56% |
| Arema FC | DDDWL | 1.80 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Garudayaksa Win | 39% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 1 matches that day
- Persita vs Persija · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Persija Win @ 1.62 · FT 3–2