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1 Lyga · Lithuania
Garliava vs Žalgiris II prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Garliava host Žalgiris II in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Garliava had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Žalgiris II had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Garliava's last 10 and 6 of Žalgiris II's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Garliava averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Žalgiris II averaged 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Garliava and 1.36 from Žalgiris II. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 34%, 24% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Garliava (green) and Žalgiris II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garliava | WDWLL | 1.00 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
| Žalgiris II | LWLWW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Žalgiris II 2–1 Garliava
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
| Žalgiris II Win | 39% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.