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1 Lyga · Lithuania
Garliava vs Dainava prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Garliava host Dainava in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 2 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Dainava to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Garliava 2–1 Dainava.
Going into the match, Garliava had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 17. Dainava had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Garliava's last 10 and 5 of Dainava's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Garliava averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dainava averaged 1.70 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Garliava and 1.35 from Dainava. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 46%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Garliava (green) and Dainava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jun 2026 · Dainava 1–0 Garliava
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Dainava Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.