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Second Amateur Division - ACFF · Belgium
Ganshoren vs Stade Mouscronnois prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ganshoren host Stade Mouscronnois in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ganshoren 0–2 Stade Mouscronnois.
Going into the match, Ganshoren had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 17. Stade Mouscronnois had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Ganshoren's last 10 and 5 of Stade Mouscronnois's last 8; 10 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ganshoren averaged 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Stade Mouscronnois averaged 2.67 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Ganshoren and 2.14 from Stade Mouscronnois. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 37%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ganshoren (green) and Stade Mouscronnois (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ganshoren | LWWWD | 2.80 | 1.70 | 90% | 100% |
| Stade Mouscronnois | WWLWD | 2.25 | 1.75 | 63% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.66 |
| Ganshoren Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Ganshoren HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.