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K League 1 · South Korea
Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gangwon FC host Bucheon FC 1995 in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gangwon FC 2–0 Bucheon FC 1995.
Going into the match, Gangwon FC had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Bucheon FC 1995 had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gangwon FC's last 10 and 4 of Bucheon FC 1995's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gangwon FC averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Bucheon FC 1995 averaged 0.91 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Gangwon FC and 0.82 from Bucheon FC 1995. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 25%, against 54%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gangwon FC (green) and Bucheon FC 1995 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | DLDDD | 0.80 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | LDLLD | 1.00 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Gangwon FC 0–3 Bucheon FC 1995
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Gangwon FC Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.