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K3 League · South Korea
Gangneung City vs Siheung Citizen prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gangneung City host Siheung Citizen in the K3 League (South Korea) on 11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Siheung Citizen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gangneung City 2–1 Siheung Citizen.
Going into the match, Gangneung City had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Siheung Citizen had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Gangneung City's last 10 and 5 of Siheung Citizen's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gangneung City averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Siheung Citizen averaged 1.42 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Gangneung City and 1.43 from Siheung Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 41%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gangneung City (green) and Siheung Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangneung City | LLDWW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Siheung Citizen | WWWWW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Siheung Citizen 1–1 Gangneung City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Siheung Citizen Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Siheung Citizen HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.