Gandzasar vs Sardarapat prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.60Market probability 57%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Gandzasar host Sardarapat in the Premier League (Armenia) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Gandzasar 1–2 Sardarapat.

Going into the match, Gandzasar had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 24. Sardarapat had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Gandzasar's last 10 and 9 of Sardarapat's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gandzasar averaged 0.91 goals scored and 2.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sardarapat averaged 1.50 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Gandzasar and 1.92 from Sardarapat. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 59%, against 35%, 25% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Gandzasar (green) and Sardarapat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form0% – 100%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Gandzasar	LLLLL	0.80	2.40	30%	60%
Sardarapat	LDDLL	1.60	1.80	90%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.20
Double Chance 12	74%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	64%	1.46
BTTS Yes	57%	1.60
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.75
Under 2.5 Goals	47%	2.05
Sardarapat Win	40%	2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.