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Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais vs Sirius prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gais host Sirius in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gais 0–1 Sirius.
Going into the match, Gais had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Sirius had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Gais's last 10 and 4 of Sirius's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gais averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sirius averaged 2.25 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Gais and 1.34 from Sirius. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 35%, against 39%, 27% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gais (green) and Sirius (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Sirius 2–1 Gais
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.