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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gainsborough Trinity host Ilkeston Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Gainsborough Trinity Win — Gainsborough Trinity to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gainsborough Trinity 3–1 Ilkeston Town.
Going into the match, Gainsborough Trinity had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 18. Ilkeston Town had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 29 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Gainsborough Trinity's last 10 and 5 of Ilkeston Town's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gainsborough Trinity averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ilkeston Town averaged 0.78 scored and 2.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.79 goals from Gainsborough Trinity and 0.77 from Ilkeston Town. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 7%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gainsborough Trinity (green) and Ilkeston Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | WWLDW | 2.30 | 1.80 | 70% | 80% |
| Ilkeston Town | LLLLL | 0.50 | 2.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Gainsborough Trinity Win | 62% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
| Gainsborough Trinity HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.