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Emperor Cup · Japan
Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gainare Tottori host Tokyo Verdy in the Emperor Cup (Japan) on 7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gainare Tottori 0–0 Tokyo Verdy.
Going into the match, Gainare Tottori had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 15. Tokyo Verdy had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gainare Tottori's last 10 and 5 of Tokyo Verdy's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gainare Tottori averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Tokyo Verdy averaged 0.64 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Gainare Tottori and 0.83 from Tokyo Verdy. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 15%, against 18%, 18% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gainare Tottori (green) and Tokyo Verdy (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | WWLLW | 1.90 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Tokyo Verdy | DLDWD | 0.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Tokyo Verdy Win | 64% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.