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Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
Gagra vs Rustavi prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Mtskheta Park, Tbilisi
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gagra host Rustavi in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Rustavi to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gagra had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Rustavi had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gagra's last 10 and 5 of Rustavi's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gagra averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.06 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Rustavi averaged 1.07 scored and 0.87 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Gagra and 1.04 from Rustavi. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 39%, against 25%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Oct 2026 · Gagra 2–1 Rustavi
- 22 Aug 2026 · Rustavi 3–0 Gagra
- 16 May 2026 · Gagra 1–1 Rustavi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Rustavi Win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.95 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.03 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.