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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fundacion Amigos host Atenas in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fundacion Amigos 2–0 Atenas.
Going into the match, Fundacion Amigos had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Atenas had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Fundacion Amigos's last 10 and 6 of Atenas's last 10; 0 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fundacion Amigos averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Atenas averaged 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Fundacion Amigos and 0.61 from Atenas. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 18%, against 50%, 30% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fundacion Amigos (green) and Atenas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundacion Amigos | DWDWW | 0.70 | 0.40 | 10% | 0% |
| Atenas | DLLWL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Jul 2026 · Atenas 1–3 Fundacion Amigos
- 3 May 2026 · Fundacion Amigos 4–0 Atenas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Fundacion Amigos Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.