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J3 League · Japan
Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · Toho, Fukushima
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fukushima United host Matsumoto Yamaga in the J3 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Fukushima United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 28. Matsumoto Yamaga had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Fukushima United's last 10 and 3 of Matsumoto Yamaga's last 10; 9 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fukushima United averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Matsumoto Yamaga averaged 1.11 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Fukushima United and 1.60 from Matsumoto Yamaga. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 33%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fukushima United (green) and Matsumoto Yamaga (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima United | WWLDL | 2.00 | 2.80 | 80% | 90% |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | LWLLW | 0.80 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Matsumoto Yamaga 3–3 Fukushima United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto · 31 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Kagoshima United Draw No Bet @ 1.40 - Parceiro Nagano vs Biwako Shiga · 31 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 - FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori · 31 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu · 31 Oct 2026, 06:05 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Renofa Yamaguchi Draw No Bet @ 1.22 - FC Gifu vs Osaka · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - Kamatamare Sanuki vs Nara Club · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Kanazawa vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.20 - Kochi United vs Sagamihara · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Kochi United Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.42 - Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58