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Primera Division · El Salvador
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fuerte San Francisco host Firpo in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 1 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Firpo Win — Firpo to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fuerte San Francisco 0–3 Firpo.
Going into the match, Fuerte San Francisco had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Firpo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Fuerte San Francisco's last 10 and 4 of Firpo's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fuerte San Francisco averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Firpo averaged 1.17 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.70 goals from Fuerte San Francisco and 1.64 from Firpo. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 59%, against 18%, 25% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fuerte San Francisco (green) and Firpo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuerte San Francisco | DDLLL | 0.70 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Firpo | WDWLL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Jul 2026 · Firpo 4–0 Fuerte San Francisco
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Firpo Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Firpo HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.