Home › League stats › Regionalliga - Nordost › FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue
Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FSV Zwickau host Erzgebirge Aue in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FSV Zwickau had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Erzgebirge Aue had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FSV Zwickau's last 10 and 6 of Erzgebirge Aue's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FSV Zwickau averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Erzgebirge Aue averaged 2.30 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from FSV Zwickau and 1.93 from Erzgebirge Aue. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 45%, against 37%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FSV Zwickau (green) and Erzgebirge Aue (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Zwickau | DWDLL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Erzgebirge Aue | LLLDW | 1.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| Double Chance X2 | 63% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Erzgebirge Aue Win | 39% | 2.29 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Regionalliga - Nordost matches that day
- Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - Chemnitzer FC vs Magdeburg II · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - RSV Eintracht vs Tasmania Berlin · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48