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Regionalliga - SudWest · Germany
FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FSV Mainz 05 II host Freiburg II in the Regionalliga - SudWest (Germany) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Freiburg II to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: FSV Mainz 05 II 0–2 Freiburg II.
Going into the match, FSV Mainz 05 II had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Freiburg II had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of FSV Mainz 05 II's last 10 and 7 of Freiburg II's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FSV Mainz 05 II averaged 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Freiburg II averaged 2.11 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.59 from Freiburg II. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 49%. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FSV Mainz 05 II (green) and Freiburg II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 II | WLLLW | 1.20 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
| Freiburg II | WLDWD | 2.00 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · FSV Mainz 05 II 0–4 Freiburg II