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Serie A · Italy
Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Frosinone host Sassuolo in the Serie A (Italy) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo.
Going into the match, Frosinone had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Sassuolo had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Frosinone's last 10 and 9 of Sassuolo's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Frosinone averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sassuolo averaged 0.89 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Frosinone and 1.02 from Sassuolo. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Frosinone (green) and Sassuolo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Sassuolo 1–1 Frosinone
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.