Home › League stats › Eliteserien › Fredrikstad vs Tromso
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad vs Tromso prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fredrikstad host Tromso in the Eliteserien (Norway) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fredrikstad 1–1 Tromso.
Going into the match, Fredrikstad had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Tromso had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Fredrikstad's last 10 and 5 of Tromso's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fredrikstad averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tromso averaged 2.14 scored and 1.93 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Fredrikstad and 1.29 from Tromso. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fredrikstad (green) and Tromso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad | DWDLW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| Tromso | WWLLD | 1.70 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.