Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.25Market probability 76%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fredrikstad host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien (Norway) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Rosenborg to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Fredrikstad had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 17. Rosenborg had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Fredrikstad's last 10 and 6 of Rosenborg's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fredrikstad averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Rosenborg averaged 2.58 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Fredrikstad and 1.96 from Rosenborg. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 55%, against 25%, 24% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fredrikstad (green) and Rosenborg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form19% – 81%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence31% – 69%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals23% – 77%

Overall strength27% – 73%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Fredrikstad	WLLDD	2.40	1.70	90%	60%
Rosenborg	LWWDW	2.80	1.20	60%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

27 Jul 2026 · Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Double Chance X2	76%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Rosenborg Win	52%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.