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Third League - Northeast · Bulgaria

Fratria II vs Ustrem Donchevo prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fratria II host Ustrem Donchevo in the Third League - Northeast (Bulgaria) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Fratria II had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 35. Ustrem Donchevo had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 31 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Fratria II's last 10 and 9 of Ustrem Donchevo's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fratria II averaged 1.89 goals scored and 2.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ustrem Donchevo averaged 1.86 scored and 2.86 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Fratria II and 2.76 from Ustrem Donchevo. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 57%. For the published pick itself the model gives 95%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fratria II (green) and Ustrem Donchevo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%
Attack33% – 67%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals19% – 81%
Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Fratria IIWLDLL1.003.5050%70%
Ustrem DonchevoDLLLL1.903.1090%90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Third League - Northeast matches that day