Francs Borains vs Dender prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Francs Borains host Dender in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Francs Borains had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Dender had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Francs Borains's last 10 and 1 of Dender's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Francs Borains averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Dender averaged 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Francs Borains and 1.00 from Dender. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 30%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Francs Borains (green) and Dender (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%

Attack44% – 56%

Defence14% – 86%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals18% – 82%

Overall strength29% – 70%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Francs Borains	LLDWW	1.40	0.80	20%	50%
Dender	LWWWW	1.70	0.90	10%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
Double Chance 12	73%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	57%	1.62
Over 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.