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Serie D - Girone F · Italy
Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fossombrone host Termoli Calcio in the Serie D - Girone F (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Fossombrone to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Fossombrone 1–2 Termoli Calcio.
Going into the match, Fossombrone had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Termoli Calcio had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Fossombrone's last 10 and 4 of Termoli Calcio's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fossombrone averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Termoli Calcio averaged 0.33 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Fossombrone and 0.97 from Termoli Calcio. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 31%. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fossombrone (green) and Termoli Calcio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossombrone | DWDLW | 1.00 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Termoli Calcio | LWLLD | 0.80 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.