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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fortuna Sittard host Twente in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Twente Win — Twente to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Twente.
Going into the match, Fortuna Sittard had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 19. Twente had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Fortuna Sittard's last 10 and 6 of Twente's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Twente averaged 2.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Fortuna Sittard and 2.30 from Twente. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 59%, against 16%, 19% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fortuna Sittard (green) and Twente (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | WWLWW | 1.80 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
| Twente | WWWDW | 2.00 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Twente Win | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Twente HT & FT | 46% | 2.10 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.