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3. Liga · Germany
Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fortuna Köln host FC Saarbrücken in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fortuna Köln 0–0 FC Saarbrücken.
Going into the match, Fortuna Köln had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. FC Saarbrücken had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Fortuna Köln's last 10 and 8 of FC Saarbrücken's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fortuna Köln averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home FC Saarbrücken averaged 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Fortuna Köln and 1.42 from FC Saarbrücken. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 44%, against 30%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fortuna Köln (green) and FC Saarbrücken (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | WLDDW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
| FC Saarbrücken | WWDLW | 2.30 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| FC Saarbrücken Win | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.