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3. Liga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fortuna Düsseldorf host Verl in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–2 Verl.
Going into the match, Fortuna Düsseldorf had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Verl had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Fortuna Düsseldorf's last 10 and 6 of Verl's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fortuna Düsseldorf averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Verl averaged 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.17 from Verl. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 22%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fortuna Düsseldorf (green) and Verl (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | LWWDW | 0.90 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Verl | LWDWW | 1.00 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf Win | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.