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USL Super League · USA

Fort Lauderdale United W vs Lexington W prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fort Lauderdale United W host Lexington W in the USL Super League (USA) on 11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Fort Lauderdale United W 2–1 Lexington W.

Going into the match, Fort Lauderdale United W had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 20. Lexington W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Fort Lauderdale United W's last 10 and 4 of Lexington W's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fort Lauderdale United W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Lexington W averaged 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from Fort Lauderdale United W and 1.54 from Lexington W. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 57%, against 18%, 23% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fort Lauderdale United W (green) and Lexington W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form0% – 100%
Attack33% – 67%
Defence29% – 71%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals32% – 68%
Overall strength28% – 71%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Fort Lauderdale United WLLLLL0.502.0040%70%
Lexington WDWWLL1.600.6040%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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