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Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge vs York United prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Forge host York United in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Forge 5–0 York United.
Going into the match, Forge had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 8. York United had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Forge's last 10 and 10 of York United's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Forge averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 15 matches; away from home York United averaged 1.00 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.89 goals from Forge and 0.76 from York United. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 6%, against 66%, 19% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Forge (green) and York United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | WDDDW | 1.60 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
| York United | LWLDL | 2.00 | 2.20 | 100% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Forge 1–1 York United
- 27 Jul 2026 · York United 1–3 Forge
- 7 Jun 2026 · York United 1–4 Forge
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Forge Win | 67% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.