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Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge vs Pacific FC prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Forge host Pacific FC in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Forge Win — Forge to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Forge 3–0 Pacific FC.
Going into the match, Forge had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Pacific FC had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Forge's last 10 and 6 of Pacific FC's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Forge averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Pacific FC averaged 1.33 scored and 2.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.62 goals from Forge and 0.60 from Pacific FC. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 6%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Forge (green) and Pacific FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | DDDWW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 60% | 30% |
| Pacific FC | LWDLD | 1.40 | 2.00 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Aug 2026 · Forge 2–0 Pacific FC
- 27 Apr 2026 · Pacific FC 0–1 Forge
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Forge Win | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Forge 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Forge HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.